Cruise Stocks And Shares: Risk And Reward Evaluation
Stock investors know that oil costs, terrorism, and corporate debt restructuring, areas that actually can't be controlled, have a huge influence on the stock market. Many investors avoid airline shares for this reason. They cannot regulate one of their biggest expenses (gas) and an act of terrorism can seriously damage the industry.
Why are cruise stocks any better? Rising fuel expenses and Hurricane Katrina resulted in lower stock rates for businesses like Carnival Corporation as well as Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. These two cruise lines account for about 75 percent of the cruise industry, globally.
When George Allen Smith IV, from Connecticut, disappeared when on a Royal Caribbean cruise, the industry received plenty of negative publicity.
Certainly, there are many downsides for cruise stocks, but some stock investors are bullish. Initially, there isn't any direct sign that the vanishing honeymooner from Connecticut has hurt ticket prices. Values on these stocks also look very good.
Carnival Corporation trades at sixteen times estimated '06 earnings. Its historic range is 10 to 30 times earnings. Royal Caribbean trades at 14 times projected 2006 earnings. Its historic range is five to twenty four times earnings. Growth potential is solid as only 4 % of Americans have ever taken a cruise.
When considering cruise stocks, remember the potential risks. A sharp rise in fuel rates or one more terrorist assault would most likely have a negative effect on cruise stocks.
If you're unclear about this investment, do you know how to short a stock? This may be an obviously better option for you, particularly if you are experiencing corporate debt restructuring.
I think the risk outweighs the possible reward as I do not expect cruise lines to drastically outperform the broader market.
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